2025 Playoff Picture: AFC South, No. 1 Seed Now the Goals

John Oehser

JACKSONVILLEWelcome to the Jaguars' playoff tracker.

Each week during the final weeks of the 2025 NFL regular season, we'll update where the Jaguars stand in the AFC South race and the AFC race.

The Jaguars (11-4), who have won six consecutive games and seven of their last eight, qualified for the postseason on Monday when the Indianapolis Colts lost to the San Francisco 49ers. The Jaguars remain in first place in the AFC South, a game ahead of the Houston Texans (10-5).

The Jaguars according to the NFL can clinch the South this weekend under the following scenarios:

  • A Jaguars victory over the Colts in Indianapolis Sunday and a Texans loss or tie against the Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) in Los Angeles Saturday.
  • A Jaguars tie against the Colts and a Texans loss to the Chargers.

The Jaguars on Sunday beat the AFC West-leading Denver Broncos, 34-20, at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Col.

The Jaguars remain seeded No. 3 in the AFC, a game behind the Broncos (12-3) and New England Patriots (12-3) for the AFC's top seed with two regular-season games remaining. The Jaguars can clinch the No. 1 seed with victories in their final two games if the Broncos and Patriots each lose one more game.

The Jaguars play host to the Tennessee Titans (3-12) at EverBank Field in Jacksonville in Week 18, with that game almost certain to be critical in terms of playoff seeding.

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Here's a look at where the Jaguars stand:

AFC SouthStandings

(11-4)

1

Jacksonville Jaguars

Remaining Schedule: @ IND, vs. TEN

(10-5)

2

Houston Texans

Remaining Schedule: @ LAC, vs. IND

(8-7)

3

Indianapolis Colts

Remaining Schedule: vs. JAX, @ HOU

(3-12)

4

Tennessee Titans

Remaining Schedule: vs. NO, @ JAX

What happened this week:The Jaguars beat the 12-3 Broncos in Denver; the Texans beat the 2-13 Las Vegas Raiders, 23-21, in Houston; the Colts lost to the 11-4 San Francisco 49ers, 48-27, in Indianapolis; the Titans beat the 6-9 Kansas City Chiefs, 26-9, in Nashville.

What's next:The Jaguars visit the Colts Sunday; the Texans visit the Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) Saturday; the Titans play host to the New Orleans Saints (5-10) Sunday.

Outlook:The Jaguars hold a one-game lead on the Texans and a three-game lead on the Colts with two regular-season games remaining. The Jaguars and Texans split their games this season, with the Jaguars winning 17-10 in Jacksonville in Week 3 and the Texans winning 36-29 in Houston in Week 10. The Texans play host to the Colts in Week 18.

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2025 AFC Standings

(12-3)

1

Denver Broncos

AFC West leaders; Clinched a playoff spot

(12-3)

2

New England Patriots

AFC East leaders; Clinched a playoff spot

(11-4)

3

Jacksonville Jaguars

AFC South leaders; Clinched a playoff spot

(9-6)

4

Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC North leaders

(11-4)

5

Los Angeles Chargers

Clinched a playoff spot

(11-4)

6

Buffalo Bills

Clinched a playoff spot

(10-5)

7

Houston Texans

(8-6)

8

Indianapolis Colts

(7-8)

9

Baltimore Ravens

(6-9)

10

Kansas City Chiefs

Eliminated

(6-9)

11

Miami Dolphins

Eliminated

(5-10)

12

Cincinnati Bengals

Eliminated

(3-12)

13

New York Jets

Eliminated

(3-12)

T-14

2

Tennessee Titans

Eliminated

(3-12)

T-14

Cleveland Browns

Eliminated

(2-13)

15

Las Vegas Raiders

Eliminated

Outlook:The Jaguars with Sunday's victory maintained their status as the No. 3 seed in the AFC, a game behind both the Broncos and the Patriots. The Broncos currently hold the No. 1 seed over the Patriots because of a better record in common games, with the Patriots clinching a playoff spot with a 28-24 victory over the Ravens Sunday night. The Jaguars will be the No. 1 seed if they finish in a three-way tie with the Broncos and Patriots.

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